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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1873
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0340 PM CDT TUE SEP 21 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN IA/EXTREME NORTHEAST MO AND NORTHERN IL/FAR
SOUTHERN WI
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 677...
VALID 212040Z - 212215Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 677
CONTINUES.
SEVERE TSTM WATCH 677 CONTINUES UNTIL 02Z...WITH DAMAGING
WINDS/BOUTS OF SEVERE HAIL AS THE PRIMARY HAZARDS...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS NORTHERN IL/FAR SOUTHERN WI.
AMID A STEEP LAPSE RATE/STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT...SURFACE COLD POOL EXPANSION APPEARS PROBABLE OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS INTO NORTHERN IL/FAR SOUTHERN WI...WITH ADDITIONAL FORWARD
PROPAGATION/ACCELERATION LIKELY WITH AN ONGOING QUASI-LINEAR
STRONG/SEVERE TSTM CLUSTER NEAR THE MS RIVER. A QUASI-LINEAR MODE
WITH EMBEDDED BOWS WILL REMAIN DOMINANT...AS REGIONAL
PROFILERS/WSR-88D VWP DATA ARE INDICATIVE OF STRONG/LARGELY
UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND PROFILES...WITH AROUND 35-40 KT OF EFFECTIVE
SHEAR. AS SUCH...ASIDE FROM BOUTS OF SEVERE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS
WILL BE AN APPRECIABLE CONCERN THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHERN IL /EVENTUALLY INCLUDING THE
CHICAGOLAND AREA/ AND FAR SOUTHERN WI.
..GUYER.. 09/21/2010
ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...MKX...DVN...
LAT...LON 41049205 41819051 42738973 43038855 42738760 41788722
41098742 40618880 40389040 40389211 41049205
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