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Mesoscale Discussion 617
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0617
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0839 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF OH/FAR NORTHEAST KY INTO WV
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 271339Z - 271445Z
   
   ALTHOUGH THE NEED FOR A WATCH IS UNCLEAR...MONITORING SHORT TERM
   TRENDS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A WATCH ISSUANCE ACROSS MUCH OF OH/FAR
   NORTHEAST KY AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF WV.
   
   A WELL-ORGANIZED SQUALL LINE CONTINUES TO STEADILY PROGRESS
   EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT AROUND 35-40 KT ACROSS SOUTHWEST OH/EASTERN KY
   EARLY THIS MORNING. SOME INDICATIONS IMPLY THAT A WEAKENING TREND
   MAY GRADUALLY OCCUR /SUCH AS A DECREASE IN CG LIGHTNING AND WARMING
   CLOUD TOPS/...BUT THE RELATIVELY FAST MOVING/ORGANIZED NATURE OF THE
   QLCS MAY CONTINUE TO YIELD A DAMAGING WIND/PERHAPS ISOLATED TORNADO
   RISK WITHIN A HIGHLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT /REFERENCE 12Z REGIONAL
   OBSERVED RAOBS AND MORE RECENT WSR-88D VWPS/. WHILE THE NEED FOR A
   WATCH IS A BIT UNCERTAIN...SHORT TERM TRENDS ARE BEING CLOSELY
   MONITORED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A WATCH.
   
   ..GUYER.. 04/27/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...JKL...ILN...
   
   LAT...LON   40328429 41098243 39778057 38088155 38368345 39218371
               40328429 
   
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Page last modified: April 27, 2011
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