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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0617
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0839 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF OH/FAR NORTHEAST KY INTO WV
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 271339Z - 271445Z
ALTHOUGH THE NEED FOR A WATCH IS UNCLEAR...MONITORING SHORT TERM
TRENDS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A WATCH ISSUANCE ACROSS MUCH OF OH/FAR
NORTHEAST KY AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF WV.
A WELL-ORGANIZED SQUALL LINE CONTINUES TO STEADILY PROGRESS
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT AROUND 35-40 KT ACROSS SOUTHWEST OH/EASTERN KY
EARLY THIS MORNING. SOME INDICATIONS IMPLY THAT A WEAKENING TREND
MAY GRADUALLY OCCUR /SUCH AS A DECREASE IN CG LIGHTNING AND WARMING
CLOUD TOPS/...BUT THE RELATIVELY FAST MOVING/ORGANIZED NATURE OF THE
QLCS MAY CONTINUE TO YIELD A DAMAGING WIND/PERHAPS ISOLATED TORNADO
RISK WITHIN A HIGHLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT /REFERENCE 12Z REGIONAL
OBSERVED RAOBS AND MORE RECENT WSR-88D VWPS/. WHILE THE NEED FOR A
WATCH IS A BIT UNCERTAIN...SHORT TERM TRENDS ARE BEING CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A WATCH.
..GUYER.. 04/27/2011
ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...JKL...ILN...
LAT...LON 40328429 41098243 39778057 38088155 38368345 39218371
40328429
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