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Mesoscale Discussion 215
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0215
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0235 PM CST FRI MAR 02 2012
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SRN IND THRU OH...MUCH OF KY
   
   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 57...58...
   
   VALID 022035Z - 022200Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 57...58...CONTINUES.
   
   AN ADDITIONAL TORNADO WATCH WILL BE NEEDED EAST OF WW 58... PROBABLY
   BEFORE 22Z...ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
   OHIO INTO WEST VIRGINIA.
   
   PRE-FRONTAL STORM DEVELOPMENT TO THE SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER...
   WHERE SURFACE WINDS HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO VEER WITH SOME LOWERING OF
   DEW POINTS...HAS BEEN A BIT SLOWER TO OCCUR THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT.
    HOWEVER...STORMS ARE IN THE PROCESS OF INCREASING IN CLOSER
   PROXIMITY TO THE COLD FRONT...APPROACHING THE MISSISSIPPI
   RIVER...AND WILL STILL POSE A SEVERE THREAT...WHILE POSSIBLY
   ORGANIZING INTO A MORE CONSOLIDATED LINE AS THE FRONT SURGES EAST OF
   THE RIVER THROUGH WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY LATE THIS AFTERNOON
   AND EVENING.
   
   MEANWHILE...TORNADIC POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN HIGH WITH
   DISCRETE SUPERCELLS AS THEY MIGRATE ACROSS THE MORE SLOWLY
   NORTHEASTWARD ADVANCING WARM FRONT ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY
   INTO SOUTHERN OHIO BETWEEN NOW AND 22-23Z.  AS ADDITIONAL
   PRE-FRONTAL DISCRETE STORMS GRADUALLY FORM AND RAPIDLY MOVE EAST
   NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL INTO EASTERN KENTUCKY...THEY WILL
   PROGRESS INTO A LESS STRONGLY HEATED...BUT MOISTENING...BOUNDARY
   LAYER.  AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES MAY ACTUALLY ENHANCE THE TORNADIC
   POTENTIAL...CONTRIBUTING TO THE RISK FOR STRONG/DESTRUCTIVE
   TORNADOES.
   
   ..KERR.. 03/02/2012
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...RLX...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...
   
   LAT...LON   36918747 37668691 38688571 39658492 39788396 39188134
               38358127 37388203 36578382 36468676 36918747 
   
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Page last modified: March 02, 2012
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