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Mesoscale Discussion 216
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0216
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0242 PM CST FRI MAR 02 2012
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SRN AL/MS...SERN LA
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 022042Z - 022145Z
   
   A THREAT FOR ISOLATED DMGG WIND/HAIL REPORTS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO
   WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING ACROSS SRN AL/MS AND SERN
   LA. COVERAGE IS ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN TOO SPARSE TO WARRANT WW
   ISSUANCE ATTM...BUT CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED. 
   
   ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED WITHIN A BROAD/WEAK LOW-LEVEL
   WAA REGIME ACROSS SRN AL/MS TOWARDS THE CNTRL GULF COAST. THE AIR
   MASS REMAINS RELATIVELY HOMOGENEOUS /WITHOUT ANY APPARENT MESOSCALE
   BOUNDARIES AND WEAK LARGE-SCALE FORCING/...BUT STRONG SFC HEATING
   AND LITTLE TO NO CINH HAS RESULTED IN INCREASING COVERAGE OF WEAK
   SHOWERS/TSTMS. RADAR REFLECTIVITY TRENDS INDICATE THESE ECHOES ARE
   RATHER WEAK/UNORGANIZED...BUT WITH STRONG BACKGROUND FLOW FIELDS AND
   VEERING LOW-LEVEL WINDS WITH HEIGHT /20-25 KTS 0-1 KM
   SHEAR/...ISOLATED DMGG WIND GUSTS...HAIL...AND PERHAPS A TORNADO
   CANNOT BE RULED OUT SHOULD STRONGER/BETTER ORGANIZED TSTMS DEVELOP.
   CURRENT COVERAGE PRECLUDES WW ISSUANCE ATTM...BUT CONVECTIVE TRENDS
   WILL BE MONITORED SHOULD A MORE WIDESPREAD THREAT BECOME APPARENT.
   
   ..ROGERS.. 03/02/2012
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...
   
   LAT...LON   30468601 30348770 30168996 30209099 30689151 32319058
               32798869 32868719 32648586 32088554 30468601 
   
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Page last modified: March 02, 2012
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