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| Mesoscale Discussion 1856 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1856
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0713 PM CDT SAT SEP 01 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...E CNTRL IL
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 602...
VALID 020013Z - 020115Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 602 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO REMAINS
POSSIBLE...OVERALL SEVERE THREAT EXPECTED TO BECOME INCREASINGLY
MARGINAL OVER REMAINING PART OF WW 602 AND POINTS EAST. HOWEVER...WW
MAY BE EXPANDED FARTHER EAST INTO SRN IND AND WRN KY.
DISCUSSION...STORMS HAVE EVOLVED INTO PREDOMINANT LINEAR MODES WITH
TRAILING STRATIFORM AREA FROM ECNTRL THROUGH SERN IL...BUT A COUPLE
DISCRETE CELLS REMAIN. LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE BACKED TO ESELY ACROSS
ECNTRL IL...BUT SIZE OF HODOGRAPHS ARE LIMITED BY WEAK WIND SPEEDS.
WITH STRONGER 0-3 KM FLOW AND GREATER INSTABILITY PERSISTING SOUTH
OF REMAINING PARTS OF WW 602...OVERALL SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY DIMINISH IN THIS AREA WITH ONSET OF NOCTURNAL COOLING.
REMAINING PARTS OF WW 602 CAN BE CANCELLED AS NEEDED AS ONGOING
CONVECTION SHIFTS FARTHER EAST.
..DIAL.. 09/02/2012
ATTN...WFO...IND...LOT...ILX...
LAT...LON 39278801 39648805 40378846 40568787 40198744 39348751
39278801
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