MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1880
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0342 PM CDT TUE SEP 04 2012
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...E CNTRL/SERN MS AND CNTRL/SWRN AL
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 042042Z - 042145Z
   
   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT
   
   SUMMARY...A SMALL CLUSTER OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF DMGG
   WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL DRIFT SWD WITH TIME. THE AREA WILL
   CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.
   
   DISCUSSION...CLEARING IN THE WAKE OF EARLIER CONVECTIVE DEBRIS
   APPEARS TO HAVE ALLOWED SUFFICIENT SURFACE HEATING FOR MINIMAL
   CONVECTIVE INHIBITION TO BE ERODED. STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS NOW
   APPEAR TO BE DEVELOPING ALONG A CONFLUENT AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH
   CNTRL AL. AS ADDITIONAL STORMS BEGIN TO FORM...QUICKLY COLLAPSING
   CORES AMIDST A DEEPLY SATURATED AIR MASS /PRECIPITATION LOADING/
   WILL GENERATE NEW OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES...POSSIBLY SUPPORTING AN
   EVENTUAL MCS. HOWEVER...GENERALLY DISORGANIZED WIND FIELDS WITH
   HEIGHT AND WEAKER LOW-LEVEL FLOW COMPARED TO YESTERDAY MAY LIMIT A
   MORE WIDESPREAD WIND EVENT...THOUGH A HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL
   LIKELY CONTINUE.
   
   ..HURLBUT/CORFIDI.. 09/04/2012
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...
   
   LAT...LON   31608584 31258722 30538788 30438832 30778884 31508893
               32078885 33038838 33088752 32748636 32198581 31608584