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Mesoscale Discussion 1893
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1893
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0213 PM CDT WED SEP 05 2012
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SRN MO...NERN AR...WRN KY AND TN
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 051913Z - 052115Z
   
   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT
   
   SUMMARY...A FEW CLUSTERS OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
   FORM OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS FROM SRN MO INTO NRN AR...WITH
   LOCALIZED SEVERE HAIL AND WIND.
   
   DISCUSSION...SURFACE MAP SHOWS AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS SRN MO
   INTO SRN IL...AND VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS SUBSTANTIAL TCU ALONG AND
   AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY WHERE STRONG HEATING PERSISTS. TALL/MOIST CAPE
   PROFILES WITH HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER WILL FAVOR A FEW WET
   MICROBURSTS...AND A SOME CELLS MAY PROPAGATE IN A SEWD
   DIRECTION...POSSIBLY SHOWING SUPERCELL CHARACTERISTICS AT TIMES WITH
   LARGE HAIL OF 1.00" TO 1.75" DIAMETER.
   
   ..JEWELL/CORFIDI.. 09/05/2012
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...OHX...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...
   
   LAT...LON   35518942 35479162 35709237 36339274 36809257 37099211
               37159144 37349051 37438976 37448918 37328864 36878828
               36348812 35958824 35658837 35518942 
   
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Page last modified: September 05, 2012
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