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Mesoscale Discussion 1895
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MD 1895 graphic
   
   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1895
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0345 PM CDT WED SEP 05 2012
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...NRN LOWER MI...ERN UP
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 052045Z - 052215Z
   
   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT
   
   SUMMARY...AT LEAST ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
   FORM OVER NRN LOWER MI LATER THIS AFTERNOON...BUT COVERAGE MAY BE
   TOO LIMITED FOR A WATCH.
   
   DISCUSSION...A WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE TROUGH CONTINUES TO MOVE
   ACROSS UPPER MI...WITH TAIL END EXTENDING SWD ACROSS NRN LAKE
   MI...WHICH WILL PASS ACROSS NRN LOWER MI. VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS A
   SUBSTANTIAL CU FIELD OVER NRN LOWER MI. DEWPOINTS HAVE MIXED INTO
   THE UPPER 50S F OVER NWRN LOWER MI...BUT MID 60S F DEWPOINTS AND
   CORRESPONDINGLY HIGHER PWAT VALUES AROUND 1.50" EXIST ACROSS THE ERN
   HALF OF THE STATE. AS FORCING WITH THE SHORTWAVE INTERACTS WITH THE
   UNSTABLE AIR MASS...A FEW STORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL AND WIND MAY
   MATERIALIZE.
   
   ..JEWELL/CORFIDI.. 09/05/2012
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...DTX...APX...GRR...
   
   LAT...LON   44258296 43978346 43918387 43908481 43978572 44298575
               44838533 45398488 46538473 46488393 45598314 44478295
               44258296 
   
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Page last modified: September 05, 2012
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