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Mesoscale Discussion 106
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0106
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0744 PM CST WED JAN 30 2013
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...COASTAL PORTIONS OF SC/SOUTHEAST GA
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 
   
   VALID 310144Z - 310245Z
   
   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT
   
   SUMMARY...AS SQUALL LINE APPROACHES THE REGION...A WATCH MAY BE
   NEEDED SOON FOR PORTIONS OF COASTAL SC/SOUTHEAST GA...WITH CONTINUED
   POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS/PERHAPS A TORNADO.
   
   DISCUSSION...WELL-ORGANIZED SQUALL LINE WITH SMALL EMBEDDED BOWING
   SEGMENTS CONTINUES TO STEADILY PROGRESS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS
   PIEDMONT OF SC/SOUTHEAST GA AS OF 0140Z. WHILE OVERALL BUOYANCY
   APPEARS TO BE QUITE MINIMAL /REFERENCE 00Z CHS OBSERVED SOUNDING/
   WITH A TREND OF DIMINISHING CLOUD-GROUND LIGHTNING...SURFACE
   TEMPERATURES REMAIN RELATIVELY MILD AHEAD OF THE QLCS AND THE
   EXISTING INTEGRITY OF THE SQUALL LINE WITHING A HIGHLY SHEARED
   ENVIRONMENT WILL MAINTAIN A CONCERN FOR DAMAGING WINDS/PERHAPS A
   TORNADO THIS EVENING ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF COASTAL SC/SOUTHEAST
   GA.
   
   ..GUYER/CORFIDI.. 01/31/2013
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...
   
   LAT...LON   30858209 32048192 33388049 33287977 32827956 32547978
               31838093 30648135 30858209 
   
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Page last modified: January 31, 2013
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