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Mesoscale Discussion 421 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0421
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1127 PM CDT TUE APR 09 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHWEST TX TO SOUTHWEST IA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 86...87...
VALID 100427Z - 100530Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
86...87...CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG A CORRIDOR
FROM NWRN TX INTO SWRN IA. REPETITIVE THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING AT LEAST MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL COULD LINGER WELL INTO
THE LATE NIGHT HOURS.
DISCUSSION...850MB COLD FRONT IS GRADUALLY ADVANCING EWD AND
CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM SERN NEB...SSWWD ACROSS WRN OK INTO NWRN TX.
COINCIDENT WITH THIS FRONT...NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS HAVE
EVOLVED WITH LATE EVENING DEVELOPMENT NOW OCCURRING ACROSS NWRN TX.
THIS ACTIVITY IS LIFTING NNEWD ALONG/AHEAD OF THE AFOREMENTIONED
850MB FRONT AND IS SUPPLIED BY MOIST/BUOYANT ELEVATED PARCELS THAT
YIELD MUCAPE ORDER OF 2000 J/KG ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS TO NEAR 1000
J/KG ACROSS SERN NEB. HAIL IS THE MOST LIKELY THREAT WITH THESE
STORMS AND THE LARGEST SEVERE HAIL SHOULD BE LINKED TO THE MORE
UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS. ADDITIONALLY...REPETITIVE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE ICING WHERE SFC TEMPERATURES
HAVE DROPPED BELOW FREEZING.
..DARROW.. 04/10/2013
ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...TSA...OAX...TOP...ICT...FWD...OUN...
GID...DDC...LUB...
LAT...LON 33490003 38719925 38719852 41039739 41039487 38789607
38789647 33489742 33490003
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