MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2000
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1139 PM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

   AREAS AFFECTED...OH AND NRN KY

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 556...

   VALID 010439Z - 010615Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 556
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...A LINE OF SHALLOW CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A
   DAMAGING WIND THREAT ACROSS WW 556.

   DISCUSSION...A LINE OF HIGH REFLECTIVITY RAIN AND OCCASIONAL
   THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO MOVE RAPIDLY EWD WITH THE COLD FRONT.
   WIND JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE ARE VERY STRONG...AND THIS AREA OF
   PRECIPITATION IS HELPING TO TRANSPORT STRONGER WINDS TO THE SURFACE.

   SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A NARROW AXIS OF LOWER 60S F DEWPOINTS ACROSS
   KY AND INTO SWRN OH...BUT DRIER AIR EXISTS ACROSS ERN OH AND KY. DUE
   TO THE DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR...THE WIND THREAT SHOULD GRADUALLY
   DECREASE WITH TIME.  NEVERTHELESS...EXTREME LOW LEVEL WINDS SHOWN ON
   LOCAL VAD PROFILES SUGGEST THAT NEW WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED INTO
   PARTS OF WESTERN PA/WV AND EASTERN KY OVERNIGHT.

   ..JEWELL.. 11/01/2013


   ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...JKL...ILN...LMK...

   LAT...LON   41738000 38388250 38408525 39598409 41138337 41758326
               41738000