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Mesoscale Discussion 27
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0027
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0334 PM CST MON JAN 13 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...COASTAL PORTIONS OF CENTRAL FL PANHANDLE

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 132134Z - 132230Z

   CORRECTED VERBIAGE IN LAST SENTENCE.

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...A LINE OF TSTMS WILL APPROACH COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE
   CENTRAL FL PANHANDLE AFTER 22Z WITH A RISK FOR ISOLATED STRONG WIND
   GUSTS. A WW IS NOT CURRENTLY EXPECTED BASED ON THE SHORT TIME FRAME
   AND ISOLATED/MARGINAL NATURE OF THE THREAT.

   DISCUSSION...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY AT 21Z DEPICTS A LINE OF TSTMS
   EXTENDING FROM 50 W PANAMA CITY SWD INTO THE NERN GULF OF MEXICO
   MOVG EWD AT 35 KTS. THE LINE OF STORMS IS ALONG AND TO THE SOUTH OF
   A DIFFUSE EAST-WEST FRONTAL BOUNDARY /DELINEATING A MODESTLY MOIST
   BOUNDARY LAYER TO THE SOUTH FROM THE COOLER CONTINENTAL AIR MASS TO
   THE NORTH/ AND TO THE NORTH OF A MORE ROBUST FRONTAL ZONE /DENOTED
   BY HIGHER THETA-E/MUCAPE VALUES OVER THE OPEN GULF OF MEXICO/. WITH
   NEITHER BOUNDARY EXPECTED TO MOVE MUCH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...VERY
   LITTLE DESTABILIZATION IS EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE AFOREMENTIONED LINE
   OF THUNDERSTORMS. AS SUCH...ONLY ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE
   EXPECTED AS THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS PROGRESSES EASTWARD DURING
   THE AFTERNOON.

   ..MARSH/BUNTING/EDWARDS.. 01/13/2014


   ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...

   LAT...LON   30118680 30418674 30538663 30548623 30428592 30298562
               30178514 30058470 29918447 29768444 29578474 29528489
               29488520 29478548 29518576 29528614 29678647 29858671
               30118680 

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Page last modified: March 20, 2014
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