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Mesoscale Discussion 194
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0194
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0255 PM CDT SUN MAR 16 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN FL PANHANDLE

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 31...

   VALID 161955Z - 162130Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 31 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...A MODEST THREAT FOR MAINLY ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND
   PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO PERSISTS ACROSS THE CNTRL FL PANHANDLE
   AREA...BUT OVERALL SEVERE TRENDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN DOWN...AND
   PRIMARY THREAT HAS TRANSITIONED TO HEAVY RAIN.

   DISCUSSION...PORTION OF SQUALL LINE IN THE CNTRL AND ERN FL
   PANHANDLE HAS BECOME ORIENTED NE-SW AND PARALLEL TO THE MEAN DEEP
   LAYER WINDS...WHICH IS RESULTING IN MUCH SLOWER MOVEMENT OF SWRN
   EXTENSION OF THE LINE AND IS ALSO CONTRIBUTING TO A SOMEWHAT REDUCED
   THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND. LOW-LEVEL INFLOW INTO THE STORMS REMAINS
   SUFFICIENT TO MAINTAIN A FORWARD PROPAGATING MCS NEXT FEW
   HOURS...BUT OVERALL SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO BE DECREASING AS THE
   LLJ BEGINS TO SHIFT EAST OF THIS REGION. WHILE VERTICAL WIND
   PROFILES ARE SUPPORTIVE OF OCCASIONAL EMBEDDED MESO-VORTICES...THE
   MARGINAL THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN A LIMITING FACTOR.

   ..DIAL.. 03/16/2014


   ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

   LAT...LON   29878525 30208412 30298308 29778308 29758382 29678501
               29878525 

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