ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 281623 
SPC MCD 281623 
FLZ000-281800-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0214
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1123 AM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...FL PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 281623Z - 281800Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...LOCALIZED SEVERE WIND GUSTS MAY PERSIST FOR A FEW MORE
HOURS WITH PORTION OF A QLCS ALONG THE COAST. A PROGRESSIVELY STABLE
AIR MASS INLAND SHOULD LIMIT SPATIAL COVERAGE AND PRECLUDE A SEVERE
TSTM WATCH ISSUANCE.

DISCUSSION...MOST INTENSE PORTION OF QLCS WAS OVER OKALOOSA COUNTY
AT 1615Z...WITH A REPORTED WIND GUST OF 60 KT AT KHRT IN THE APEX OF
A SMALL-SCALE BOWING SEGMENT. ABUNDANT DOWNSTREAM STRATIFORM
PRECIPITATION AND WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS HAS SLOWED DESTABILIZATION
WITH SURFACE DEW POINTS ONLY IN THE LOWER 60S. BUOYANCY IS LIKELY TO
REMAIN QUITE LIMITED WITH ERN EXTENT GIVEN NEAR-NEUTRAL LAPSE RATES
AMIDST A SATURATED THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE. NEVERTHELESS...A LARGE
VEERING WIND PROFILE SAMPLED IN KEVX VWP DATA ALONG WITH 30-40 KT
FORWARD MOTION OF THE BOW COULD MAINTAIN A RISK FOR LOCALIZED SEVERE
WIND GUSTS IN THE NEAR-TERM.

..GRAMS/HART.. 03/28/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...

LAT...LON   30848620 30868578 30728528 30518498 30228477 29878468
            29618474 29588502 30078570 30378627 30848620 

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