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Mesoscale Discussion 449
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0449
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0716 AM CDT MON APR 28 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CNTRL AND NE LA...INTO CNTRL MS

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 107...

   VALID 281216Z - 281345Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 107 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...SEVERE POTENTIAL...MAINLY WIND AND HAIL...CONTINUES IN THE
   NEAR TERM ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA INTO
   NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.  HOWEVER...CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL BEYOND
   14-15Z INTO MIDDAY IS MORE UNCLEAR

   DISCUSSION...AS A NARROW LINE OF VIGOROUS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
   PROGRESSES THROUGH AN AXIS OF HIGHER MOISTURE CONTENT AIR AS IT
   APPROACHES THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS NOT
   OUT OF THE QUESTION...SIMILAR TO THAT WHICH HAS OCCURRED ACROSS
   ARKANSAS INTO WESTERN TENNESSEE AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI. 
   HOWEVER...STRONGER UPPER SUPPORT IS PASSING BY TO THE NORTH OF THE
   REGION...AND DIURNAL WEAKENING OF THE SOUTHERLY 850 MB JET AXIS TO
   THE EAST OF THE RIVER IS FORECAST THROUGH MID TO LATE MORNING.

   ..KERR.. 04/28/2014


   ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LCH...SHV...

   LAT...LON   32769200 33459119 33859049 33978933 33498900 31549123
               31039250 31149400 32769200 

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Page last modified: April 28, 2014
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