Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 504
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 504 graphic

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0504
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0539 PM CDT TUE MAY 06 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...A SMALL PART OF N TX

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 062239Z - 070045Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...A FEW TSTMS FORMING ALONG THE DRYLINE WILL POSE A RISK FOR
   ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL/WIND THROUGH ABOUT 01-02Z.

   DISCUSSION...22Z OBSERVATIONAL ANALYSIS PLACED THE DRYLINE FROM
   TILLMAN COUNTY OK SWD INTO ERN SHACKELFORD...CALLAHAN AND COLEMAN
   COUNTIES IN THE TX BIG COUNTRY. HERE...SMALL CBS ARE MOST VISIBLE
   ALONG THIS PORTION OF THE DRYLINE AND INCIPIENT TSTM DEVELOPMENT IS
   UNDERWAY. LARGE SURFACE TEMPERATURE/DEW POINT SPREADS AROUND 40 DEG
   F JUST AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE SUGGEST CONVECTION WILL REMAIN
   HIGH-BASED. STEEP TROPOSPHERIC LAPSE RATES ALONG WITH SUFFICIENT
   EFFECTIVE SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED UPDRAFTS /ALTHOUGH LARGELY
   CONCENTRATED IN THE UPPER PORTION OF THE BUOYANCY PROFILE/ WILL
   SUPPORT RISKS FOR SEVERE HAIL/WIND FOR A FEW HOURS. STRENGTHENING
   INHIBITION SHOULD RESULT IN STORMS QUICKLY DIMINISHING AROUND
   SUNSET.

   ..GRAMS/CORFIDI.. 05/06/2014


   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...

   LAT...LON   33969887 34199860 34189821 33819791 33149790 32449797
               31919829 31689874 31819911 32049908 33969887 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 07, 2014
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities