Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 572
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 572 graphic

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0572
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0751 PM CDT SUN MAY 11 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN TX PANHANDLE...WRN OK...NW TX

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 120051Z - 120145Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...IT IS UNCERTAIN IF ANY STORMS WILL BE SUSTAINED ACROSS THE
   ERN TX PANHANDLE INTO WRN OK...BUT LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
   WOULD BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY SUPERCELL THAT DEVELOPS.

   DISCUSSION...0030Z VISIBLE SHOWS TOWERING CU ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
   DRYLINE ACROSS THE ERN TX PANHANDLE INTO WRN OK. MODERATE
   INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL SUPPORT DISCRETE SUPERCELL
   STRUCTURES WITH ANY MATURE STORMS...BUT WITH SOME RESIDUAL CAP IN
   PLACE AND IMMINENT DIURNAL COOLING...IT IS UNCERTAIN IF ANY CELLS
   WILL MATURE IN THIS REGION. SIGNIFICANT HAIL WOULD BE POSSIBLE WITH
   ANY SUPERCELL...IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING WIND GIVEN THE
   HOT...WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY
   REGARDING CONVECTIVE INITIATION...BUT WW ISSUANCE IS POSSIBLE IF
   SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT APPEARS IMMINENT.

   DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THIS AREA IS ALSO POSSIBLE LATE THIS EVENING AS A
   COLD FRONT MOVES IN FROM THE NORTHWEST.

   ..DEAN/THOMPSON.. 05/12/2014


   ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...

   LAT...LON   33670094 34550084 35260075 35500068 35750054 35740017
               35789973 35619887 35359872 34889870 34529872 34229874
               34009881 33679884 33359904 33129937 33089976 33160019
               33290064 33670094 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 12, 2014
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities