|
Mesoscale Discussion 805 |
< Previous MD Next MD >
|
|
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0805
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0932 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2014
AREAS AFFECTED...SE MT
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 040232Z - 040330Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT
SUMMARY...ONGOING STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE AN ISOLATED SVR HAIL
RISK FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.
DISCUSSION...DESPITE EARLIER CONVECTION AND THE PASSIVE OF A LEAD
SHORTWAVE TROUGH...ENVIRONMENT ACROSS SE MT REMAINS CHARACTERIZED BY
STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 50S. AS
SUCH...ONGOING TSTM ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY INTERACT WITH A MODERATELY
UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT. 00Z RAP RAOB SUGGESTS THESE STORMS ARE LIKELY
ELEVATED WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF SVR HAIL. AS A RESULT...THESE
STORMS MAY PERSIST FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS DESPITE CINH INDICATED BY
MESOANALYSIS. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN STRONG ENOUGH DURING THE
NEXT HOUR OR TWO FOR SOME SVR HAIL BEFORE DIURNAL
COOLING/STABILIZATION AND CONTINUE EWD MOTION AWAY FROM BETTER LARGE
SCALE LIFT ACROSS CNTRL/NE MT RESULTS IN WEAKENING.
..MOSIER/HART.. 06/04/2014
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...
LAT...LON 46240444 45150521 45020592 45090676 45560694 46530651
47050654 47220593 47120540 46240444
|
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
|
|