ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 231114 
SPC MCD 231114 
TXZ000-OKZ000-231215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1128
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0614 AM CDT MON JUN 23 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 231114Z - 231215Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

SUMMARY...LOCALLY AND GENERALLY SUB-SEVERE WIND GUSTS /UP TO AROUND
40 KT/ REMAIN POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND
NORTHWEST TX.  THIS THREAT IS GREATEST ACROSS THE DALLAS-FORT WORTH
METRO AREA BETWEEN 11-1230Z...BUT A WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
IS NOT ANTICIPATED.  NEW WW ISSUANCE IS UNLIKELY.  MEANWHILE...THE
OVERALL SEVERE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF WW 350 WILL
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH...SUCH THAT THIS WATCH MAY BE CANCELLED EARLY.

DISCUSSION...TRENDS IN EARLY MORNING MOSAIC RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED THE
LEADING EDGE OF THE SRN PLAINS MCS CONTINUING DISCRETE PROPAGATION
TO THE S/SE...WITH THE RELATIVELY FASTEST MOTION OCCURRING OVER
NORTH CENTRAL TX AT 35-40 KT.  SATELLITE IR IMAGERY INDICATED AN
OVERALL CLOUD TOP WARMING UNDERWAY...SUGGESTING A WEAKENING TREND IN
THE STRENGTH OF THIS CONVECTIVE SYSTEM.  THE STRONGEST OBSERVED WIND
GUST ATTENDANT TO THE NORTH CENTRAL TX PORTION OF THE MCS WAS 37 KT
AT KDTO AT 1103Z.  GIVEN THE SEWD MOVEMENT UP TO 40 KT TOWARD THE
DFW METRO...LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 KT WILL BE
POSSIBLE...BUT OVERALL WEAKENING TRENDS IN THIS MCS SUGGEST A
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS UNLIKELY THIS MORNING.

..PETERS/THOMPSON.. 06/23/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON   33779705 33849668 33239634 32569667 32259749 32279884
            32460037 32700138 33110103 33220070 33019932 33209863
            33779705 

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