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Mesoscale Discussion 1181 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1181
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0930 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2014
AREAS AFFECTED...KS...NE
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 361...
VALID 280230Z - 280330Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 361 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...ALTHOUGH STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WITH HAIL AND
WIND MAY PERSIST ACROSS PARTS OF WRN KS...THE TORNADO THREAT
CONTINUES TO DIMINISH ACROSS WATCH 361 FOR WRN KS AND A SMALL
PORTION OF SWRN NEB. THE REMAINDER OF THE WATCH AREA WILL BE ALLOWED
TO EXPIRE AT THE TOP OF THE HOUR.
DISCUSSION...INTENSE STORMS PERSIST ALONG AND IMMEDIATELY BEHIND
COLD-POOL OUTFLOW EXTENDING FROM NORTH OF DDC NEWD TO THE NEB
BORDER. NEW UPDRAFTS HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED AMIDST THE HOT AND
UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS SWRN KS. GIVEN ABUNDANT INSTABILITY AND
CONTINUING BACKGROUND FORCING FOR ASCENT...IN ADDITION TO AN
INCREASE IN MASS AND MOISTURE FLUX ON STRENGTHENING NOCTURNAL
LOW-LEVEL JET...EXPECT DEEP CONVECTION TO PERSIST DESPITE RELATIVELY
HIGH INHIBITION AND WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT. WHILE TORNADO POTENTIAL
APPEARS TO BE ON THE WANE...THE CHANCE FOR ISOLATED STRONG
DOWNDRAFTS...HAIL...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL PERSIST WITH STORMS
REGENERATING ALONG THE SWRN FLANK OF DEEPER COLD POOL ACROSS WRN KS
LATE THIS EVENING. OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL DOES NOT APPEAR TO
WARRANT AN ADDITIONAL WATCH AT THIS TIME.
..CARBIN/MEAD.. 06/28/2014
ATTN...WFO...GID...DDC...GLD...PUB...
LAT...LON 38580210 39440143 40320056 40259957 38449962 37129962
37060014 37060128 37090200 38580210
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