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Mesoscale Discussion 1231
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1231
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0938 PM CDT MON JUN 30 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...SW AND S CENTRAL KS...OK PANHANDLE...NRN TX
   PANHANDLE

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 377...379...

   VALID 010238Z - 010345Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
   377...379...CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY REACH PEAK INTENSITY SOON AS
   LINGERING STRONG BUOYANCY ALONG THE COLD FRONT IS RELEASED BY
   ENHANCED CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT WITH AN INCREASING SLY LLJ. 
   LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE MORE INTENSE
   STORMS.

   DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE CONTINUES TO INCREASE FROM THE OK
   PANHANDLE ENEWD INTO S CENTRAL KS.  THOUGH THE BOUNDARY LAYER HAS
   BEGUN TO COOL SLOWLY WITH SUNSET...LINGERING STRONG BUOYANCY IS
   STILL PRESENT IN A ZONE OF RICHER MOISTURE ALONG THE BOUNDARY.  THE
   SLOW INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE INHIBITION WILL BE OFFSET BY AN INCREASE
   IN LOW-LEVEL ASCENT ALONG THE FRONT AS A SLY LLJ STRENGTHENS IN THE
   WARM SECTOR.  THE NET RESULT SHOULD BE A PEAK IN STORM
   COVERAGE/INTENSITY IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...WHEN LARGE HAIL AND
   DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE MORE INTENSE STORMS.  STORM
   INTENSITY AND THE ATTENDANT SEVERE RISK SHOULD DIMINISH GRADUALLY
   NEAR OR AFTER 04Z.

   ..THOMPSON.. 07/01/2014


   ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA...

   LAT...LON   36430067 36250155 36280195 36610204 36810187 37300074
               37619983 37899856 38189742 38529637 38579605 38219583
               37789612 37209818 36430067 

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Page last modified: July 01, 2014
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