ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 012313 
SPC MCD 012313 
KYZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-020045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1247
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0613 PM CDT TUE JUL 01 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN AR...EXTREME SERN MO...NWRN TN...SRN IL...SWRN
IND AND WRN KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 383...

VALID 012313Z - 020045Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 383
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL WILL
PERSIST NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH GREATEST THREAT POSSIBLY ACROSS WRN KY
THROUGH 00Z. ANY WW EAST OF WW 383 WILL DEPEND ON SHORT TERM
CONVECTIVE TRENDS.

DISCUSSION...STORMS HAVE CONSOLIDATED INTO A SOLID LINE THAT EXTENDS
FROM SRN IND TO SRN IL...SERN MO AND NERN ARKANSAS. THE LINE IS
MOVING ESEWD AT 25-30 KT AND IS APPROACHING WRN KY. WARM SECTOR
REMAINS VERY UNSTABLE WITH 2500-3000 J/KG MLCAPE...BUT STORMS ARE
EMBEDDED WITHING MODEST UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW LARGELY PARALLEL TO MOST
OF THE LINE WHICH MAY BE A LIMITING FACTOR FOR MORE WIDESPREAD
DAMAGING WIND. THE STORMS MOVING INTO WRN KY IMMEDIATELY SOUTH OF
WEAK CIRCULATION OVER SRN IL IS ORIENTED AT A SLIGHTLY LARGER ANGLE
TO THE DEEP LAYER WINDS WHICH MIGHT INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR
BOWING SEGMENTS.

..DIAL.. 07/01/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   36828974 38018702 36718718 36149097 36828974 

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