ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 090155 
SPC MCD 090155 
MEZ000-MAZ000-NHZ000-RIZ000-VTZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-090330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1324
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0855 PM CDT TUE JUL 08 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...NH...ERN MA/CT...RI...ERN LONG ISLAND

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 090155Z - 090330Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A MARGINAL WIND THREAT MAY EXTEND JUST EAST OF WATCH
405...BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED AS STORMS CONTINUE
EASTWARD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND. A NEW WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED
DOWNSTREAM...BUT TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED.

DISCUSSION...MARGINALLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS MAY CONTINUE A COUNTY OR
TWO EAST OF WATCH 405...BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND HAS BEEN NOTED
ON RADAR OVER THE LAST 30 MINUTES OR SO. WHILE SOME STRONGER CELLS
REMAIN EMBEDDED IN BOWING SEGMENTS...RECENT 7 AND 9 KM CAPPI
INDICATED A DOWNWARD TREND IN STORM INTENSITY OVER THE LAST 30
MINUTES. FURTHER WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS STORMS CONTINUE EASTWARD
INTO DECREASING INSTABILITY DUE TO LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...AND AS
COOLER MARINE LAYER BEGINS TO MOVE FURTHER INLAND. A DOWNSTREAM
WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...BUT TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED
AND REEVALUATED AS STORMS NEAR THE EDGE OF WATCH 405.

..LEITMAN/HART.. 07/09/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...

LAT...LON   45517157 45197108 43297056 42177079 41227154 40547278
            40487306 40627347 40917353 41687344 44747241 45327206
            45517157 

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