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Mesoscale Discussion 1325
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1325
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1001 PM CDT TUE JUL 08 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AR...SWRN TN...NRN MS

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 406...

   VALID 090301Z - 090400Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 406
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THREAT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY
   LOCALIZED AS CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE SLOWLY DECREASING. SVR TSTM WATCH
   406 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 04Z.

   DISCUSSION...MCS CONTINUES TO SLOWLY PROGRESS SWD FROM FAR ERN OK
   EWD INTO SRN MIDDLE TN. RECENT RADAR TRENDS SUGGEST THE COLD POOL IS
   ADVANCING AHEAD OF MOST OF THE CONVECTION...WITH A SUBSEQUENT
   WEAKENING IN TSTM INTENSITY NOTED. RELATIVELY STRONGER STORMS ARE
   PERSISTING OVER MONTGOMERY/POLK COUNTIES AR...AND
   FAYETTE/HARDEMAN/MCNAIRY COUNTIES TN...BUT STRONG TO MARGINALLY SVR
   WIND THREAT WITH THESE IS LIKELY TO REMAIN LOCALIZED. GIVEN CURRENT
   TRENDS...SVR TSTM WATCH 406 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 04Z.

   ..ROGERS.. 07/09/2014


   ATTN...WFO...MEG...LZK...SHV...

   LAT...LON   34728820 34438909 34169150 34219376 34339431 34649435
               34899426 34989377 34859294 35069202 35369123 35489032
               35558935 35318823 34728820 

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Page last modified: July 09, 2014
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