ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL ACUS11 KWNS 152041 SPC MCD 152041 NYZ000-CTZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-MDZ000-DEZ000-VAZ000-NCZ000-DCZ000-WVZ000-152215- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1393 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0341 PM CDT TUE JUL 15 2014 AREAS AFFECTED...MID-ATLANTIC...SE NY...FAR WRN NEW ENGLAND CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 423... VALID 152041Z - 152215Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 423 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...A SEVERE THREAT IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY EVENING ACROSS WW 423. WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. DISCUSSION...A NEARLY CONTINUOUS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS CURRENTLY ONGOING FROM NEAR PHILADELPHIA PA SSWWD TO NEAR RICHMOND VA. THIS LINE IS LOCATED TO THE WEST OF AN AXIS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY NEAR THE COAST WHERE MLCAPE VALUES ARE ESTIMATED FROM 1500 TO 2500 J/KG. THE INSTABILITY SHOULD HELP THE LINE TO CONTINUE ORGANIZING AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE COAST. IN ADDITION...THE PHILADELPHIA WSR-88D VWP SHOWS UNIDIRECTIONAL WINDS WITH 30 TO 40 KT OF FLOW ABOVE 3 KM. THE WIND PROFILE COMBINED WITH STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ALONG THE INSTABILITY AXIS SHOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR A WIND DAMAGE THREAT LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. THE WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL SHOULD BE GREATEST WITH SHORT BOWING LINE SEGMENTS EMBEDDED IN THE LINE. ..BROYLES/HART.. 07/15/2014 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...AKQ...MHX...CTP... LWX...RAH...RNK... LAT...LON 36507772 36527910 36277914 36268000 36508001 36758012 36837998 36767971 37037960 37047945 37447924 37517924 37607937 37777926 37897908 37897895 38417849 38777826 38827836 39007831 38947820 39417796 39517780 39367776 39337766 39777740 39987747 40047718 40247690 40417697 40607691 40777635 40957622 40897591 40997571 41097572 41137563 41237552 41277508 41127506 41067493 41347473 41457478 41497443 41637427 41587397 41447397 41497358 41677350 41507343 41517316 41657298 41567288 41547272 41437265 41297256 41227251 41247291 40947304 40917316 40937343 40657343 40607366 40607322 40307322 40237361 39497384 39077420 38867449 38617474 38277472 37877493 37577515 37547523 37117543 36877567 36227541 36207581 36097577 36097606 36087639 35997649 36077665 35877676 35847691 35947716 36087730 36147726 36307747 36347760 36447760 36507772 NNNN