ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 152207 
SPC MCD 152207 
NCZ000-SCZ000-152330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1396
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0507 PM CDT TUE JUL 15 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE PIEDMONT/COASTAL PLAIN OF NC/N SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 152207Z - 152330Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...RISK FOR ISOLATED STRONG WINDS PRODUCING TREE DAMAGE
SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER 00Z.

DISCUSSION...CONSOLIDATION OF UPDRAFTS HAVE YIELDED TSTM CLUSTERS
OVER THE RDU METRO AREA SW TOWARDS THE NC/SC BORDER AREA JUST SE OF
CLT. BRIEFLY BULGING REFLECTIVITY STRUCTURES WILL REMAIN CAPABLE OF
ISOLATED STRONG WINDS PRODUCING TREE DAMAGE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF HOURS. BUT WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR OF ONLY AROUND 15-25 KT PER
GSP/CAE/AKQ VWP DATA AND PROBABLE STABILIZATION OVER MUCH OF THE
COASTAL PLAIN AMIDST ABUNDANT STRATIFORM
RAIN/CLOUDINESS....SPATIOTEMPORAL NATURE OF THIS RISK APPEARS
LIMITED.

..GRAMS/CARBIN.. 07/15/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CAE...GSP...

LAT...LON   35368023 35777924 36327817 36277738 35967718 35627712
            34977774 34377905 34208020 34368098 34718126 34898121
            35368023 

NNNN