ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 081958 
SPC MCD 081958 
ALZ000-MSZ000-082130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1834
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0258 PM CDT WED OCT 08 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MS/AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 081958Z - 082130Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS MAY REDEVELOP WITH A SMALL STORM
CLUSTER INTO EARLY EVENING.

DISCUSSION...A PERSISTENT AND MODERATELY-MOVING TSTM CLUSTER
RECENTLY DEEPENED AS IT CROSSED THE MS RIVER INTO NW MS. WITH
MINIMAL INHIBITION DOWNSTREAM AND MLCAPE OF AROUND 1500-2000
J/KG...THIS CLUSTER SHOULD CONTINUE E/SE...S OF A QUASI-STATIONARY
FRONTAL ZONE DRAPED INTO NRN AL/GA. WEAK LOW-LEVEL WINDS PER AREA
VWP DATA ALONG WITH MARGINAL HIGH-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL LIKELY
REMAIN LIMITING FACTORS TO MORE SUBSTANTIAL INTENSIFICATION. BUT
MODERATE MID-LEVEL SPEED SHEAR NEAR 30 KT ALONG WITH AMALGAMATING
CORES COULD SUPPORT SMALL HAIL-LADEN DOWNDRAFTS PRODUCING SPORADIC
STRONG WIND GUSTS.

..GRAMS/DARROW.. 10/08/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON   34758962 34768891 34568747 34508688 34178612 33768639
            33538696 33428742 33328819 33378893 33498961 33899027
            34309039 34569015 34758962 

NNNN