|
Mesoscale Discussion 1512 |
< Previous MD Next MD >
|
|
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1512
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0655 PM CDT THU JUL 23 2015
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SD/NEB/KS/CO
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 447...
VALID 232355Z - 240200Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 447
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THE RISK FOR SVR TSTMS CONTINUES IN WW 447.
DISCUSSION...ISOLATED TSTMS CONTINUE ON THE WARM/MOIST SIDE /EAST TO
SOUTH/ OF A MIXING BOUNDARY/LEE TROUGH ANALYZED FROM N-CNTRL
NEB/S-CNTRL SD TO ERN CO. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
EWD/SEWD DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND REMAIN CAPABLE OF SVR
WIND/HAIL IN A STRONGLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH AROUND 40 KT OF
DEEP SHEAR SAMPLED BY THE LNX VWP. MOSAIC RADAR AND VIS SATELLITE
LOOPS SUGGEST THAT THE BOUNDARY IS SLOWLY ADVANCING NWD ACROSS PARTS
OF NEB/SD...POTENTIALLY REMAINING AN INITIATING BOUNDARY FOR
CONVECTION IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AS RICHER BOUNDARY-LAYER
MOISTURE OVERSPREADS STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. WITH WEAK
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT OVER THE AREA...AND CONVECTION PRIMARILY BEING
DRIVEN BY DIURNAL HEATING...A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND IS FORECAST TO
OCCUR AROUND/AFTER DUSK AS INHIBITION SLOWLY GROWS NOCTURNALLY.
..COHEN.. 07/23/2015
ATTN...WFO...FSD...GID...LBF...UNR...GLD...BOU...
LAT...LON 38440193 39530227 41800180 43100047 43399886 41699855
38920061 38440193
|
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
|
|