MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0899
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0516 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF ERN CO...WRN KS...FAR SWRN NEB...TX/OK
   PANHANDLES...NERN NM

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 250...

   VALID 132216Z - 132345Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 250 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THE SVR RISK CONTINUES ACROSS WW 250.

   DISCUSSION...CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS AND A FEW SUPERCELLS CONTINUE
   TRACKING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS. THE
   CONVECTIVELY UNPERTURBED AIR MASS REMAINS MODERATELY TO STRONGLY
   UNSTABLE...AS SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE MIDDLE 50S TO MIDDLE 60S ARE
   SAMPLED ACROSS THE REGION -- BENEATH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES.
   NOTABLE VERTICALLY-VEERING-FLOW PROFILES IN THE LOWEST 3 KM AGL
   SAMPLED BY AREA VWPS...COUPLED WITH 40-60 KT OF EFFECTIVE BULK
   SHEAR...SUGGEST THAT ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE MODES/POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS
   WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD EWD/SEWD DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
   SUPERCELLS NEAR/E OF THE FRONT RANGE FROM PUEBLO TO CASTLE ROCK IN
   CO MAY HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SVR HAIL AND PERHAPS A
   COUPLE OF TORNADOES -- GIVEN THE ELY SFC WIND COMPONENT AND AMPLE
   AFOREMENTIONED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE BACKED UP TO THE FRONT RANGE.
   OTHER CLUSTERS OF SVR TSTMS FROM SERN CO TO NERN NM AND THE WRN TX
   PANHANDLE WILL SPREAD EWD/SEWD WITH A RISK FOR SVR WIND/HAIL AND
   PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO.

   ..COHEN.. 06/13/2016


   ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   40300459 40840369 40710219 38930153 36270172 35080277
               35330477 37580503 40300459