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Mesoscale Discussion 2
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0002
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1011 PM CST Sun Jan 01 2017

   Areas affected...Much of Central Texas

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 020411Z - 020645Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

   SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will increase in coverage and intensity
   later tonight, with damaging winds and hail expected. A watch may be
   needed prior to 06Z.

   DISCUSSION...A rapidly moving cold front continues to move eastward
   across West TX, with several wind gusts in excess of 40-50 kts
   measured and only sporadic lightning. This front will gradually
   interact with an increasingly unstable air mass, still well to the
   east as of 04Z. However, increasing flow in the low levels just
   above the surface will help transport mid to upper 50s dewpoints
   northward out of South TX, with a rapid uptick in storms along the
   front expected as MUCAPE of 500-1000 j/kg develops. This in turn
   should allow for a line of storms along the front, with both wind
   and hail possible.

   ..Jewell/Hart.. 01/02/2017


   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...

   LAT...LON   30219873 29730024 30030135 30720124 31520065 32510009
               33659960 33849866 33629781 33029711 32099731 30219873 

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Page last modified: January 02, 2017
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