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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0005
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1234 PM CST SAT JAN 03 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN SD...FAR SE NE...MUCH OF WRN AND NRN MN
CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW
VALID 031834Z - 040030Z
BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL PERSIST AND REDEVELOP WITH SNOWFALL RATES
OF 1-2 IN/HR LIKELY THROUGH AT LEAST 00Z.
A BAND OF MDT TO HVY SNOW HAS MATERIALIZED ACROSS NW MN INTO ERN
SD...IN ASSOCIATION WITH A ZONE OF MODERATE FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING
ALOFT...AND VERY NEAR THE 700 MB LOW PRESSURE TROUGH. FORCING
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS
WITH A NEAR STEADY INTENSITY STATE AS SEEN IN CURRENT PRIMARY SNOW
BAND. RUC AND NAM MODELS SUGGEST HRLY QPF RATES OF 0.10 TO 0.15 IN
WHICH CORRESPOND WELL WITH RECENT OBSERVATIONS OVER NERN SD WHERE
0.10 IN WAS MEASURED AS OF 18Z. MODERATE SNOW/LIQUID RATIOS EXIST
DUE TO COOL TEMPERATURES IN THE TEENS WHICH WILL HELP TO MAXIMIZE
SNOW DEPTH WITH LOCALIZED 2 IN/HR LIKELY ESPECIALLY OVER NWRN MN
LATER TODAY.
..JEWELL.. 01/03/2009
...NOTICE...
SPC WINTER WEATHER MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS WILL BE ISSUED ON A
SCHEDULED BASIS FROM DECEMBER 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28...FOUR
TIMES A DAY...AROUND 00 UTC...06 UTC...12 UTC...AND 18 UTC
FOR SIGNIFICANT SHORT RANGE WINTER WEATHER EVENTS.
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...FSD...ABR...
LAT...LON 49019608 49069551 49089515 49479516 49469469 48819458
48689371 48659277 48549266 48139261 47559282 45669477
45129530 44249587 44289746 45369749 46209714 47239652
48029635 49019608
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