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Mesoscale Discussion 5
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0005
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0336 AM CST Mon Jan 02 2017

   Areas affected...Parts of central and east TX

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 1...

   Valid 020936Z - 021030Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 1 continues.

   SUMMARY...While thunderstorms have been generally sub-severe so far,
   there should be an increasing severe threat as they move eastward
   across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 1.

   DISCUSSION...Radar trends over the past hour have shown convection
   along and behind a cold front across central TX generally remaining
   sub-severe. This is primarily due to the strongest cores lagging the
   surface front (evident as a radar fine line) and being slightly
   elevated. One exception to this is a bowing segment moving across
   Erath and Hamilton counties in central TX as of 0935Z. This line
   segment will remain capable of producing large hail and damaging
   winds (recently reported up to 70 mph in Hamilton, TX) over the next
   hour. An increasingly moist and unstable environment downstream of
   the front (into east TX) remains favorable for intensification of
   ongoing thunderstorms, and additional development along the front
   itself. All severe hazards will be possible, although damaging winds
   should tend to become the primary threat with time as convection
   likely consolidates into a line.

   ..Gleason.. 01/02/2017


   ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX...

   LAT...LON   30159928 30919838 32019832 33599776 33529547 32989572
               31789551 30579541 29639682 29609763 30159928 

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Page last modified: January 02, 2017
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