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Mesoscale Discussion 7
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0007
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0441 PM CST SUN JAN 05 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...UPSTATE NY...VT...MUCH OF NH...WRN ME

   CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN 

   VALID 052241Z - 060245Z

   SUMMARY...FREEZING RAINFALL RATES AOA 0.05 IN/HR WILL BE POSSIBLE
   THIS EVENING/NIGHT FROM UPSTATE NY INTO WRN ME.

   DISCUSSION...LOW-LEVEL SLY JET IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN TO 50+ KT
   AS CYCLOGENESIS TAKES PLACE OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION. AS
   THIS OCCURS...7 DEG C WARM NOSE CENTERED NEAR 850 MB WILL BECOME
   POSITIONED ABOVE SUB-FREEZING SURFACE TEMPERATURES. IN
   ADDITION...ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE/LOW-LEVEL WAA WILL AID IN SUSTAINING
   SHOWERY PRECIPITATION SPREADING NEWD FROM UPSTATE NY INTO VT/NH AND
   WRN ME. AS A RESULT...FREEZING RAINFALL RATES LOCALLY EXCEEDING 0.05
   IN/HR WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING/NIGHT. WITH TIME...SELY SURFACE
   WINDS WILL GRADUALLY LEAD TO ABOVE FREEZING SURFACE
   TEMPERATURES...SUCH THAT FREEZING RAIN WILL COME TO AN END OVER NY
   DURING THE 00-06Z TIME PERIOD...AND VT/NH/WRN ME FROM 06-12Z.

   ..GARNER.. 01/05/2014


   ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...

   LAT...LON   44507000 41887414 42097533 43887549 45307415 45427049
               44507000 

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