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Mesoscale Discussion 14
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0014
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0815 PM CST Mon Jan 02 2017

   Areas affected...Far southwestern/south-central GA...central/eastern
   FL Panhandle

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 4...

   Valid 030215Z - 030315Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 4 continues.

   SUMMARY...Well-organized line of storms will persist for the next
   few hours, supporting a continued threat of damaging wind gusts and
   an isolated tornado or two.

   DISCUSSION...Over the past hour, regional radar imagery has shown a
   gradual organization and strengthening of the line of moving across
   far southeastern AL, southwestern GA, and the central FL Panhandle,
   with a notable reflectivity surge along the FL/AL border. Numerous
   observations across the region have reported wind gusts from 35 to
   45 kt and a recent gust of 52 kts at MAI, very near the apex of the
   bowing segment. Current radar imagery still depicts a well-organized
   line with velocity data showing strong convergence in several
   sections of the line near the FL/AL/GA border intersection. 

   Current estimated storm motion of the line is 270 degrees at 40-45
   kt, taking it to the edge of Tornado Watch 4 by 03Z. Given the
   organization of the line, a damaging wind and isolated tornado
   threat is expected to persist throughout the next hour or two with a
   local extension of the watch and/or a new watch likely needed across
   the remainder of south-central GA and the eastern FL Panhandle.

   ..Mosier.. 01/03/2017


   ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...BMX...

   LAT...LON   31548554 31818504 31858424 31378341 30598327 30098424
               30048511 30368580 31548554 

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Page last modified: January 03, 2017
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