Mesoscale Discussion 0014
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0815 PM CST Mon Jan 02 2017
Areas affected...Far southwestern/south-central GA...central/eastern
Concerning...Tornado Watch 4...
Valid 030215Z - 030315Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 4 continues.
SUMMARY...Well-organized line of storms will persist for the next
few hours, supporting a continued threat of damaging wind gusts and
an isolated tornado or two.
DISCUSSION...Over the past hour, regional radar imagery has shown a
gradual organization and strengthening of the line of moving across
far southeastern AL, southwestern GA, and the central FL Panhandle,
with a notable reflectivity surge along the FL/AL border. Numerous
observations across the region have reported wind gusts from 35 to
45 kt and a recent gust of 52 kts at MAI, very near the apex of the
bowing segment. Current radar imagery still depicts a well-organized
line with velocity data showing strong convergence in several
sections of the line near the FL/AL/GA border intersection.
Current estimated storm motion of the line is 270 degrees at 40-45
kt, taking it to the edge of Tornado Watch 4 by 03Z. Given the
organization of the line, a damaging wind and isolated tornado
threat is expected to persist throughout the next hour or two with a
local extension of the watch and/or a new watch likely needed across
the remainder of south-central GA and the eastern FL Panhandle.
LAT...LON 31548554 31818504 31858424 31378341 30598327 30098424
30048511 30368580 31548554