|Mesoscale Discussion 15|
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Mesoscale Discussion 0015
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1110 PM CST Mon Jan 02 2017
Areas affected...FL Panhandle...southeast GA...southern SC
Concerning...Tornado Watch 5...
Valid 030510Z - 030715Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 5 continues.
SUMMARY...While localized wind damage or brief/weak tornadoes are
still possible, a weakening trend is expected to continue over the
next few hours, and additional watches may not be required.
DISCUSSION...A line of storms currently extending from central GA
into the FL Panhandle appears to be undergoing a weakening trend as
winds behind the upper trough axis begin to veer. A well-defined MCV
will continue to move eastward along the warm front from southeast
GA into southern SC with a threat of localized wind damage or a
brief/weak tornado, and perhaps with cells just ahead of the MCV. To
the southwest, storms over the FL Panhandle have strung out parallel
to the flow with training storms producing heavy rain. Low-level
shear in this area remains somewhat favorable for rotation on the
southern fringe of this storm complex, but current storm mode does
not support the need for an additional watch.
LAT...LON 30388533 30378447 30588382 31088313 31478281 31888266
32378276 32838213 33038087 33018035 32798017 32358024
31768099 31208120 30628133 30308204 30128374 30038476
29988528 30118544 30388533
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