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Mesoscale Discussion 16
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0016
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0703 PM CST SAT JAN 09 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN

   CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW 

   VALID 100103Z - 100700Z

   SUMMARY...SNOWFALL MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIME TONIGHT...WITH RATES
   NEARING 1 INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES. THE MOST LIKELY TIMING OF HEAVIER
   SNOWFALL WILL BE AROUND 03Z-09Z.

   DISCUSSION...SNOWFALL HAS SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN LOWER
   MICHIGAN THIS EVENING. ACROSS THE CENTRAL PART OF THE STATE...RAIN
   WAS STILL OCCURRING WITH WET-BULB ZERO TEMPS AROUND 34-36 DEGREES.
   HERE...IT MAY TAKE A WHILE FOR RAIN TO TRANSITION TO SNOW...BUT
   SHOULD DO SO OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS COLD ARCTIC AIR PUSHES
   SOUTHWARD. AS 850-700MB FRONTOGENESIS INCREASES OVERNIGHT...SNOWFALL
   INTENSITY SHOULD LIKEWISE INCREASE...AND RATES NEAR 1 INCH PER HOUR
   WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES. THE BEST CHANCE FOR PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW
   LOOKS TO BE IN THE 04Z-10Z TIME FRAME.

   ..LEITMAN.. 01/10/2016


   ATTN...WFO...DTX...APX...GRR...

   LAT...LON   44778323 44448323 44208341 43778392 43238474 42928531
               42808560 42748587 42768608 42848632 43048642 43448655
               43668658 44058657 44678624 45038519 45258394 45278348
               45178333 44948322 44778323 

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Page last modified: January 10, 2016
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