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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0020
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1028 AM CST WED JAN 20 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...SIERRA NEVADA MOUNTAINS OF CA
CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW
VALID 201628Z - 202030Z
SNOWFALL RATES AOA 2 IN/HR ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE SIERRA
NEVADA MOUNTAINS OF CA BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
A S/W TROUGH OBSERVED IN WV IMAGERY WAS LOCATED OFF THE COAST OF CA
THIS MORNING...AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE STATE THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING. AS A SHIELD OF WARM CONVEYOR BELT PRECIPITATION
LOCATED AHEAD OF THE TROUGH CONTINUES TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION
THROUGH THE LATE MORNING...SNOW LEVELS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN AOA
4000-5000 FT MSL. HOWEVER...MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO
COOL BY LATE AFTERNOON WITH THE APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH...WHICH
WILL AID IN LOWERING SNOW LEVELS AS WELL AS STEEPENING LAPSE RATES.
IN ADDITION...MID LEVEL SWLY WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE BY
21Z...BECOMING ORIENTED NEARLY PERPENDICULAR WITH THE SIERRA NEVADA
MOUNTAINS /PARTICULARLY THE SRN SIERRAS/. THE COMBINATION OF
STRENGTHENING UPSLOPE FLOW AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH
THE TROUGH...IN ADDITION TO THE REDUCTION IN STABILITY...WILL FAVOR
INCREASING SNOWFALL RATES /AOA 2 IN PER HR/. MODEL GUIDANCE THEN
INDICATES THE S/W TROUGH WILL EXIT THE REGION BY 06Z...WHICH SHOULD
RESULT IN A GRADUAL REDUCTION IN SNOWFALL RATES DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS.
..GARNER.. 01/20/2010
...NOTICE...
SPC WINTER WEATHER MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS WILL BE ISSUED ON A
SCHEDULED BASIS FROM DECEMBER 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28...FOUR
TIMES A DAY...AROUND 00 UTC...06 UTC...12 UTC...AND 18 UTC
FOR SIGNIFICANT SHORT RANGE WINTER WEATHER EVENTS.
ATTN...WFO...VEF...REV...HNX...STO...
LAT...LON 35991807 35961845 36301879 37231947 38022023 39332084
40022159 40332150 39572039 38691993 38051918 37221841
35991807
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