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Mesoscale Discussion 23
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0023
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1110 AM CST SAT JAN 16 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE TX COAST

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 161710Z - 161945Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...ISOLATED MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
   THE MIDDLE TO UPPER TX COAST THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

   DISCUSSION...A RASH OF ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO DEVELOP
   ACROSS THE MIDDLE TX COAST AND ACROSS THE WRN GULF OF MEXICO IN A
   REGION OF WARM AIR ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING SFC LOW.
   WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY WITH COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND
   SUFFICIENT DEEP-LAYER SHEAR MAY ALLOW A FEW OF THE STORMS TO PRODUCE
   HAIL OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...BUT A WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED.

   ..JEWELL/THOMPSON.. 01/16/2016


   ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...

   LAT...LON   27909687 28249708 28519750 28679814 29039815 29889564
               29759528 29519491 29199473 28719555 28189655 27909687 

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Page last modified: January 16, 2016
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