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Mesoscale Discussion 28
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0028
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1102 AM CST SUN JAN 17 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...SERN VA...NERN NC

   CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW 

   VALID 171702Z - 171930Z

   SUMMARY...LOCALLY HEAVY WET SNOW WITH RATES UP TO 1 IN/HR WILL
   PERSIST FOR AN HOUR OR TWO BEFORE ENDING FROM W TO E...RESULTING IN
   BRIEF ACCUMULATION WITH NEAR ISOTHERMAL LOW-LEVEL PROFILES NEAR
   FREEZING.

   DISCUSSION...RADAR TRENDS CONTINUE TO SHOW AN AREA OF BRIGHT BANDING
   BETWEEN 2000-3000 FT AGL OFF THE AKQ RADAR WITH CORRELATION
   COEFFICIENT PRODUCT DELINEATING A RAIN/RAIN-SNOW MIX TRANSITION ZONE
   ROUGHLY NW OF AN NGU TO SFQ LINE AS OF 17Z. SE OF THIS LINE...MAINLY
   RAIN IS EXPECTED EXCEPT FOR PERHAPS A BRIEF CHANGEOVER PRIOR TO THE
   PRECIPITATION BAND WEAKENING.  NW OF THIS LINE...HEAVY WET SNOW
   SHOULD PERSIST UNTIL RAPID DRYING FROM THE W EVENTUALLY SHUTS DOWN
   THE DENDRITE PRODUCTION ALOFT.

   ..JEWELL.. 01/17/2016


   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RAH...

   LAT...LON   37597551 37037609 36277697 36197708 36187733 36217746
               36337757 36657752 37137706 37407658 37587623 37687597
               37657568 37597551 

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Page last modified: January 17, 2016
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