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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0028
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1255 PM CST THU JAN 08 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEAST MT/WESTERN ND
CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN
VALID 081855Z - 090000Z
FREEZING RAIN AND SOME SLEET SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH
MID/LATE AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING WITHIN A RELATIVELY NARROW
NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST CORRIDOR ACROSS NORTHEAST MT/WESTERN
ND...INCLUDING THE WILLISTON/DICKINSON/HAZEN/BEULAH ND VICINITIES.
LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS FEATURES A NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST ORIENTED
QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT FROM EASTERN MT INTO WESTERN SD. AHEAD OF A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH/DOWNSTREAM HEIGHT FALLS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...A PERSISTENT WARM ADVECTION REGIME/SATURATION
SHOULD LEAD TO A GRADUAL INCREASE IN PRECIPITATION RATES THIS
AFTERNOON FROM NORTHEAST MT INTO WESTERN SD. WITH A COLD LOW LEVEL
AIRMASS WELL ENTRENCHED ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE SURFACE FRONT...RUC
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST A WARMING/ABOVE 32F LAYER BASED
AROUND/ABOVE 750 METERS AGL WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR FULL/PARTIAL
MELTING AND SUBSEQUENT FREEZING RAIN/SOME SLEET WITHIN A ROUGHLY
50-60 MILE CORRIDOR ACROSS NORTHEAST MT/WESTERN ND...ESPECIALLY
AFTER 21Z.
..GUYER.. 01/08/2009
...NOTICE...
SPC WINTER WEATHER MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS WILL BE ISSUED ON A
SCHEDULED BASIS FROM DECEMBER 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28...FOUR
TIMES A DAY...AROUND 00 UTC...06 UTC...12 UTC...AND 18 UTC
FOR SIGNIFICANT SHORT RANGE WINTER WEATHER EVENTS.
ATTN...WFO...ABR...BIS...GGW...
LAT...LON 48740437 47560230 46180051 45740106 45950188 46790296
48370569 48740437
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