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Mesoscale Discussion 50
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0050
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1047 AM CST FRI JAN 22 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND NRN NC...FAR SRN VA

   CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION 

   VALID 221647Z - 222245Z

   SUMMARY...A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED
   ACROSS CNTRL AND NRN NC INTO SRN VA THIS AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION
   RATES SHOULD REACH OR EXCEED 0.05 INCHES PER HOUR IN SOME AREAS.

   DISCUSSION...LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER
   WRN KY WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH ROTATING AROUND THE ERN SIDE OF THE
   SYSTEM EXTENDING FROM THE LOW CENTER SEWD ACROSS SC. WIDESPREAD
   PRECIPITATION IS OCCURRING ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE ACROSS
   THE CAROLINAS INTO VA WHERE STRONG LARGE-SCALE ASCENT IS PRESENT. AT
   THE SFC...TEMPS ARE IN THE 25 TO 30 F RANGE ACROSS MOST OF THE MCD
   AREA WITH FREEZING RAIN BEING REPORTED AT MANY LOCATIONS WITH SNOW
   IN THE APPALACHIAN FOOTHILLS. SFC TEMPS SHOULD ONLY WARM A FEW
   DEGREES F THIS AFTERNOON FROM CNTRL NC NWD INTO SRN VA ALLOWING MOST
   AREAS TO REMAIN BELOW FREEZING. AS WARM ADVECTION CONTINUES TO OCCUR
   IN THE LOW-LEVELS...FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE IN
   THE PIEDMONT OF NC AND SRN VA. SNOW IS OCCURRING ACROSS THE
   APPALACHIAN MTNS BUT SOME AREAS COULD CHANGEOVER TO SLEET AND
   FREEZING RAIN THIS AFTERNOON AS MID-LEVEL TEMPS WARM. PRECIPITATION
   RATES COULD EXCEED 0.05 INCHES PER HOUR WITHIN THE HEAVIER BANDS OF
   PRECIPITATION.

   ..BROYLES.. 01/22/2016


   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RAH...RNK...GSP...

   LAT...LON   35887793 35597862 35277963 35188025 35258094 35398139
               35708149 35928144 36218114 36478070 36737953 36667761
               36457724 36067742 35887793 

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Page last modified: January 22, 2016
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