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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0055
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1122 PM CST SUN JAN 27 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE CNTRL APPALACHIANS TO LK ERIE
CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN
VALID 280522Z - 280945Z
SUMMARY...LIGHT SNOW/SLEET WILL TRANSITION TO FREEZING RAIN WITH
RATES OF 0.02 TO 0.07 IN/HR EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.
DISCUSSION...BROAD SWATH OF LIGHT MIXED PRECIPITATION SHOULD
CONTINUE TO PROGRESS EWD OVERNIGHT WITHIN A FAVORABLE CORRIDOR OF
LOW-LEVEL WARM THETA-E ADVECTION DOWNSTREAM OF A 60 KT LLJ OVER THE
MIDWEST. THIS JET WILL AID IN THE TRANSPORT OF A PRONOUNCED
ABOVE-FREEZING WARM NOSE SAMPLED BY EVENING RAOBS/AMDAR ATOP A
NEAR-SURFACE COLD DOME AS WET-BULB EFFECTS HELP MAINTAIN SURFACE
TEMPERATURES HOLDING STEADY TO SLOWLY RISING JUST BELOW FREEZING. AS
FULL-COLUMN SATURATION OCCURS...INITIAL LIGHT SNOW/SLEET WILL
TRANSITION OVER TO A PERIOD OF PREDOMINANTLY FREEZING RAIN BY
08-10Z.
..GRAMS.. 01/28/2013
ATTN...WFO...BUF...CTP...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...CLE...
LAT...LON 39007877 37997952 37587993 37628043 37808061 38358018
38937987 39717980 40488008 41928050 42088030 42237975
42027930 41277880 40287849 39007877
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