MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0062
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0929 PM CST MON JAN 28 2013
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...N-CNTRL OK
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 290329Z - 290530Z
   
   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT
   
   SUMMARY...ISOLATED TSTMS MAY BE INITIATING WITHIN THE WARM/MOIST
   SECTOR ACROSS CNTRL OK. ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS WITH
   ALL SEVERE THREATS POSSIBLE.
   
   DISCUSSION...A SHORT NNE TO SSW BAND OF ISOLATED SHOWERS HAS FORMED
   IN THE PAST HALF HOUR FROM LOGAN TO NRN GRADY COUNTIES...E OF THE
   SURFACE DRYLINE IN WRN OK. ALTHOUGH LARGE-SCALE ASCENT WAS NOT
   ANTICIPATED TO STRENGTHEN SUBSTANTIALLY TILL AFTER 09Z PER MOST
   MODEL GUIDANCE...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS CONVECTION MAY BECOME
   SUSTAINED AS WEAK MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS OVERSPREAD THE REGION BY
   06Z. EVENING FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALONG WITH MODIFIED 00Z OUN/LMN
   RAOBS SUGGEST MODEST MLCAPE AND MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD PERSIST
   AMIDST A HIGHLY FAVORABLE LOW/MID-LEVEL WIND PROFILE FOR UPDRAFT
   ROTATION. THUS...IF CONVECTION CAN BECOME SUSTAINED...RISKS FOR
   SEVERE HAIL/WIND AND A TORNADO OR TWO WOULD DEVELOP.
   
   ..GRAMS/HART.. 01/29/2013
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...
   
   LAT...LON   36709723 37009682 36859611 36379597 35799618 35389649
               35149694 35109770 35319803 36239768 36709723