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Mesoscale Discussion 76
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0076
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0143 PM CST TUE FEB 02 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF ERN MS

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 10...9...

   VALID 021943Z - 022145Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 10...9...CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...TORNADIC POTENTIAL APPEARS LIKELY TO INCREASE ACROSS PARTS
   OF EASTERN MISSISSIPPI THROUGH 21-22Z.

   DISCUSSION...SEVERAL DISCRETE SUPERCELLS ARE DEVELOPING WITHIN AN
   APPARENT LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENCE AXIS EAST OF THE I-55 CORRIDOR.  THE
   LATEST RAPID REFRESH SUGGESTS SOUTHERLY 850 MB FLOW IS IN THE
   PROCESS OF STRENGTHENING IN EXCESS OF 50 KT ALONG AN AXIS JUST EAST
   OF THIS ACTIVITY...WHICH WILL SPREAD TOWARD THE ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI
   BORDER AREA THROUGH 21-22Z.  COINCIDING WITH ENLARGEMENT OF
   CLOCKWISE CURVED LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS...THE BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES
   TO DESTABILIZE WITH INSOLATION AND INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
   ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN MISSISSIPPI.  THIS ENVIRONMENT IS BECOMING
   INCREASINGLY CONDUCIVE TO TORNADIC DEVELOPMENT...PARTICULARLY
   NEAR/WEST THROUGH NORTH OF MERIDIAN...TOWARD STARKVILLE.  THIS
   INCLUDES THE RISK FOR A STRONG TORNADO.

   ..KERR.. 02/02/2016


   ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...

   LAT...LON   32788973 33688921 34108852 33668833 32108886 31548936
               31389001 32788973 

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Page last modified: February 02, 2016
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