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Mesoscale Discussion 79
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0079
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0705 PM CST MON FEB 10 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...S-CNTRL KS / N-CNTRL INTO NERN OK

   CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW 

   VALID 110105Z - 110600Z

   SUMMARY...LOCALIZED HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR FOR
   1-2 HOURS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING FROM PARTS OF S-CNTRL KS ESEWD
   INTO N-CNTRL OK AND EVENTUALLY NERN OK 04-06Z.

   DISCUSSION...RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS AN ESEWD ORIENTED MESOSCALE BAND OF
   HEAVIER SNOW FROM GRANT COUNTY IN SWRN KS INTO WOODS COUNTY IN NWRN
   OK.  THIS BAND OF SNOW APPEARS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK IMPULSE MOVING
   ACROSS THE OK/TX PANHANDLE REGION AND FRONTOGENETIC FORCING IN THE
   H7-H65 LAYER.  MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THE COLUMN BECOMING SATURATED
   OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS N-CNTRL OK /02-04Z/ AND INCLUDING
   PORTIONS OF NERN OK /04-06Z/ AND THE GREATER TULSA AREA.  GIVEN THE
   LARGELY FRONTOGENETIC CHARACTERISTIC TO THE SNOW BAND...ONLY A
   RELATIVELY NARROW CORRIDOR OF LOCALIZED 1 INCH PER HOUR SNOWFALL
   RATES ARE FORECAST.  TIMING OF HIGHER SNOWFALL RATES WILL SHIFT OUT
   OF SWRN AND S-CNTRL KS DURING THE 01-03Z PERIOD AND BECOME PRIMARILY
   FOCUSED OVER N-CNTRL OK DURING THE 02-05Z PERIOD AND ENCOMPASSING
   PARTS OF NERN OK DURING THE 04-06Z PERIOD.

   ..SMITH.. 02/11/2014


   ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC...

   LAT...LON   35639584 36819966 37200002 37289938 36179541 35729513
               35639584 

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Page last modified: February 11, 2014
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