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Mesoscale Discussion 80
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0080
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0613 PM CST TUE FEB 02 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MS...WRN TN...WRN KY AND FAR SRN IL

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 11...9...

   VALID 030013Z - 030215Z

   CORRECTED FOR WW #

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 11...9...CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WW 9 FROM
   NRN MS NWD INTO WRN KY OVER THE NEXT HOUR. WIND DAMAGE AND AN
   ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER
   THUNDERSTORMS. THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BECOME MORE ISOLATED WITH
   TIME AND A LOCAL WW EXTENSION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR A COUPLE
   HOURS TO HANDLE ANY LINGERING SEVERE THREAT.

   DISCUSSION...LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT NEAR THE MS
   RIVER WITH A NEARLY CONTINUOUS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING JUST
   AHEAD OF THE FRONT. A MOIST AIRMASS IS IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE LINE
   WITH SFC DEWPOINTS GENERALLY IN THE MID 60S F WITH AN AXIS OF WEAK
   INSTABILITY. REGIONAL WSR-88 VWPS SHOW VERY STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
   PROFILES FAVORABLE FOR STORM ORGANIZATION. THE PADUCAH WSR-88D VWP
   HAS 0-6 KM SHEAR OF 75 KT WITH 50 KT OF FLOW AT 1 KM AGL. THIS WIND
   SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WILL SUPPORT A WIND DAMAGE THREAT WITH BOWING LINE
   SEGMENTS. ROTATING STORMS EMBEDDED IN THE LINE MAY ALSO CONTAIN A
   THREAT FOR TORNADOES. THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD GRADUALLY END FROM
   WEST TO EAST AS THE LINE OF CONVECTION MOVES INTO THE ERN PART OF WW
   9 OVER THE NEXT HOUR.

   ..BROYLES.. 02/03/2016


   ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...

   LAT...LON   32928835 34868810 35018821 34998797 35258797 35358802
               35448797 35518767 35628764 35668771 35898770 35998755
               36288751 36368748 36338723 36508712 36628715 36638705
               37068705 37088693 37248689 37408705 37508716 37598691
               37748683 37938696 37848707 37878720 37968753 37888760
               37878772 37918794 37808792 37778804 37918818 37908871
               37468870 37328877 37328892 37088912 36908911 36658920
               36608933 36578953 36458948 36448936 36278943 36188939
               36198919 36178916 35948921 35838937 35558952 35428942
               35328954 35358962 35038964 34979034 34549019 34089014
               34089050 33979049 33999065 34129070 34159089 34029099
               33979111 33819104 33719115 33649110 33589122 33559139
               33539144 33049148 32999097 33099098 33089063 32949064
               32949042 33029046 32979027 32878983 32888972 32958973
               32928835 

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