Mesoscale Discussion 0090
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0448 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024

   Areas affected...Central/Southwest LA

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 251048Z - 251245Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...A few damaging gusts and/or isolated instances of small
   hail are possible across central and southwest LA over the next few
   hours.

   DISCUSSION...Regional radar imagery reveals a convective line
   extending from the central LA/TX border vicinity southward along the
   Sabine River into far southeast TX/TX Golden Triangle. This line has
   shown an increase in intensity over the past hour or so, likely
   resulting from increasing large-scale ascent attendant negatively
   tilted shortwave trough moving into the central portions of the
   southern Plains. Prevailing low-level stability and elevated
   character of this line has limited the severe potential thus far,
   although a gust of 40 kt was reported at GLS. 

   Dewpoints are in the upper 50s to low 60s within the airmass
   preceding the line over central and southwest LA. This limited
   low-level moisture is expected to result in a prevalence of the
   low-stability, keeping the overall severe potential low. Best chance
   of a damaging gust will be across southwest/south-central LA where
   the best low-level moisture is located. Linear storm mode suggests
   the hail potential is low as well, but the combination of modest
   elevated buoyancy with strong shear could result in isolated
   instances of small hail.

   ..Mosier/Goss.. 01/25/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...

   LAT...LON   31269357 31599323 31749234 31329186 30349175 29729208
               29509250 29659324 29689392 31269357