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Mesoscale Discussion 102
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0102
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1106 PM CST Sat Jan 21 2017

   Areas of southern Georgia

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 220506Z - 220600Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Local severe risk may spread across southern Georgia
   during the next few hours.  However, necessity for watch issuance
   remains uncertain.

   DISCUSSION...Latest radar shows vigorous storms moving across
   southwest Georgia at this time, into an increasingly stable
   low-level airmass in the wake of the earlier squall line.  Though
   higher theta-e boundary-layer air is spreading north across the
   Florida Panhandle, the northward advance will likely be hindered to
   some degree by persistent convection farther north, reinforcing
   low-level stability.

   At this time, it appears that the primary risk across much of GA may
   be hail over the next few hours.  Given weaker instability with
   northeastward extent, additional watch issuance may not be needed.

   ..Goss/Edwards.. 01/22/2017


   LAT...LON   31918365 32048429 32768445 33078251 31908128 30978113
               31078197 31248271 31918365 

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