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Mesoscale Discussion 103
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0103
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0111 PM CST MON FEB 15 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SRN VA/WV...CNTRL/WRN NC...NRN SC

   CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN 

   VALID 151911Z - 152315Z

   SUMMARY...FREEZING RAIN WILL PERSIST/EXPAND ACROSS THE REGION
   THROUGH THIS EVENING. RATES UP TO 0.05-0.1 INCHES/HR WILL BE
   POSSIBLE.

   DISCUSSION...AS LOW/MID-LEVEL SWLY FLOW STRENGTHENS AND LARGE-SCALE
   FORCING FOR ASCENT INCREASES IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING MID-LEVEL
   IMPULSE CURRENTLY NEAR EASTERN TX...POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN SHOULD
   CONTINUE/EXPAND OVER THE MCD AREA. TO THE EAST...E/SELY FLOW WILL
   INCREASE TEMPS ABOVE FREEZING. HOWEVER...COLD-AIR DAMMING AGAINST
   THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE APPALACHIANS WILL MAINTAIN A WEDGE OF
   SUB-FREEZING NEAR-SFC AIR ACROSS MUCH OF THE DISCUSSION AREA THROUGH
   THE EVENING HOURS AND INTO EARLY TONIGHT. IN TURN...EXPANDING
   PRECIPITATION WILL PRIMARILY BE IN THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN...WITH
   RATES UP TO 0.05-0.1 INCHES/HR POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN SMALL
   CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS DEVELOPING ATOP THE WARM NOSE.

   ..PICCA.. 02/15/2016


   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...RLX...CAE...GSP...MRX...

   LAT...LON   37167732 35927841 35048000 34928066 34878194 35058277
               36338225 37578126 37768048 37597883 37407752 37167732 

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Page last modified: February 15, 2016
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