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| Mesoscale Discussion 134 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0134
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0239 AM CST SUN FEB 10 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...WEST-CENTRAL/NORTH-CENTRAL/NORTHEAST TX TO ARKLATEX
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 28...
VALID 100839Z - 101045Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 28
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...SEVERE TSTM WATCH 28 CONTINUES UNTIL 13Z...WITH DAMAGING
WINDS/SOME HAIL AS THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. EARLY INDICATIONS ARE THAT
AN ADDITIONAL WATCH COULD BE NEEDED BY AROUND 1000-1030Z FOR
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST TX AND THE ADJACENT ARKLATEX.
DISCUSSION...NEAR/AHEAD OF A PACIFIC COLD FRONT...A 200+ MILE
CONTINUOUS SQUALL LINE CONTINUES TO STEADILY PROGRESS EASTWARD AND
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL /NEAR THE DFW METRO/ AND
WEST-CENTRAL PORTIONS OF TX AS OF 0815Z...WITH A MORE BROKEN BAND OF
SOMEWHAT SLOWER MOVING TSTMS ON THE SOUTHWEST FLANK IN VICINITY OF
THE JUNCTION AREA/I-10 CORRIDOR. A 44 KT TSTM WIND GUST WAS RECENTLY
/0825Z/ MEASURED AT FORT WORTH. WHILE A RELATIVELY MORE STABLE
BOUNDARY LAYER COINCIDES WITH THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE SQUALL
LINE ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL TX...LOCALIZED BOUTS OF DAMAGING WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE AS A MOIST INFLUX PERSISTS NEAR/JUST ABOVE THE
SURFACE IN CONJUNCTION WITH A VERY STRONG SWLY LOW LEVEL JET. IT
SEEMS PROBABLE THAT ADDITIONAL UPSCALE GROWTH/BOWING WILL OCCUR IN
CONJUNCTION VERY STRONG SSW DEEP LAYER FLOW...ACCENTUATED BY 60+ KT
WITHIN THE LOWEST 1-2 KM AS PER FORT WORTH WSR-88D VWP DATA. FARTHER
SSW...DAMAGING WIND/SOME HAIL POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE...WITH STORM
MERGERS LIKELY TO OCCUR THROUGH 10-11Z ACROSS CENTRAL TX/HILL
COUNTRY VICINITY AS TSTMS SPREAD INTO TORNADO WATCH 29.
..GUYER.. 02/10/2013
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...EWX...SJT...
LAT...LON 30300041 31769857 32979744 33639684 33519448 31669414
31809525 32169595 31559738 30659912 30300041
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