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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0135
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0512 AM CST SUN FEB 10 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/SOUTH-CENTRAL TX
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 29...
VALID 101112Z - 101245Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 29 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...TORNADO WATCH 29 CONTINUES...WITH A CONTINUED TORNADO
POTENTIAL MAINLY ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL TX ASIDE FROM DAMAGING
WINDS/SOME HAIL.
DISCUSSION...SEVERAL SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS HAVE PERSISTED/MOVED
NORTHEASTWARD OVERNIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL TX...AND PRIMARY POTENTIAL
FOR A TORNADO/HAIL WILL PERSIST IN THE PREDAWN HOURS WITH THESE
STORMS IN THE PRESENCE OF STRONG SHEAR AND AN INCREASINGLY MOIST
LOW-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. SUCH A THREAT MAY ESPECIALLY BE THE CASE IN
THE SHORT-TERM WITH A SUPERCELL CURRENTLY LOCATED 35-40 MILES EAST
OF TEMPLE TX NEAR THE FALLS/ROBERTSON COUNTY LINE AS OF 1110Z.
HOWEVER...THESE SEMI-DISCRETE TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE OVERTAKEN
BY/MERGE WITH THE SQUALL LINE NOW CROSSING NORTHEAST/CENTRAL TX
THROUGH 12Z-14Z...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AS THE PRIMARY CONCERN.
FARTHER SOUTH INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL TX...TSTM COVERAGE/VIGOR MAY REMAIN
TEMPERED BY A RESIDUAL ELEVATED MIXED LAYER AND NEUTRAL MID-UPPER
FORCING FOR ASCENT. FARTHER EAST/LATER THIS MORNING...MORE OF A
TORNADO THREAT COULD MATERIALIZE ACROSS EAST TX INTO LA...SUCH THAT
A NEW WATCH/TORNADO WATCH UPGRADE COULD BE NEEDED.
..GUYER.. 02/10/2013
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...
LAT...LON 30499604 30049760 30609774 31689652 32069495 32029437
31609346 31079340 30769413 30499604
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