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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0146
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0623 PM CST SUN FEB 10 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MS AND SRN AL
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 33...34...
VALID 110023Z - 110200Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 33...34...CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THE GREATEST SUPERCELL SIGNIFICANT TORNADO THREAT WILL
SEEMINGLY BE PRESENT IN A WEST TO EAST CORRIDOR AS QUASI-DISCRETE
POTENTIALLY TORNADIC SUPERCELLS TRAIN EWD ACROSS SERN MS INTO SRN
AL.
DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS SEVERAL DISCRETE UPDRAFTS
/SUPERCELLS/ MOVING ENEWD ACROSS SERN MS AND SRN AL. THE 00Z/11 LIX
RAOB DISPLAYED A LARGE LOOPING HODOGRAPH /EFFECTIVE SRH 400 M2/S2/
WITHIN A MOISTURE RICH ENVIRONMENT /14.6 G/KG MEAN MIXING RATIO/.
ALTHOUGH BUOYANCY IS LOWER WITH EWD EXTENT OVER PORTIONS OF SERN
AL...SOME ADDITIONAL RECOVERY IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO THE STORMS MOVING
INTO THIS REGION. NONETHELESS...THE PRIMARY TORNADO RISK WILL BE
FARTHER WEST WHERE SUPERCELLS WILL TRAIN EWD. AS SUCH...A
CONTINUATION OF AN ISOLD SIGTOR THREAT WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE OVER
THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.
..SMITH.. 02/11/2013
ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...
LAT...LON 31279030 31988840 32288624 32178568 31818549 31378617
30778806 30668928 31279030
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